COVID-19 related? China reports 1M increase in influenza last December

The Chinese government reports one million sudden increase in abnormal infections in December of 2019, most of which were classified as influenza by the Chinese official. Such astonishing growth in number is suspected to be related to the COVID-19 outbreak.

The Chinese government’s explanation for the influenza surge is:

Compared with the past, the number of reported cases of influenza among C-type infectious diseases has increased significantly, mainly due to the high incidence of respiratory infectious diseases such as influenza in winter and spring. As the provinces of the country enter the influenza epidemic season, influenza activity levels have continued to increase. Reached its peak. The Cold Diagnosis and Treatment Program (2019 Edition) clearly takes the result of rapid diagnosis as one of the diagnostic basis for confirmed cases of influenza, and the number of medical institutions that provide patients with rapid diagnosis of influenza etiology has increased significantly, and even the medical health at all levels in some provinces Institutions have launched rapid influenza etiology diagnostic services, which has led to a significant increase in the number of reported cases of influenza.

There were 1,707,322 cases of infectious diseases reported between Dec 1-31, 2019

The number of death from influenza is disproportionately low despite over a million diagnoses in Dec 2019.

There is no novel coronavirus listed in the December report published on Jan 31. Is it a fair assumption that they were put into the influenza category? Otherwise, where did they go? Let us see what numbers will be published for Jan 2020.

Month & Yearinfectious diseasesinfluenza/death
Dec 20191,707,3221,199,771/16
Dec 2018712,581130,442/13
Dec 2017699,850121,800/5

National Epidemic Situation of Notifiable Communicable Diseases in December 2019

Published Jan 31, 2020

From December 2019 (0 pm on December 1, 2019 to 24:00 pm on December 31, 2019), a total of 1,707,322 cases of statutory infectious diseases were reported nationwide (excluding Hong Kong, Macau Special Administrative Region and Taiwan, the same below), with 2,636 deaths. Among them, there were no reports of morbidity and death of Class A infectious diseases. Infectious atypical pneumonia, polio, human infection with highly pathogenic avian influenza, diphtheria and human infection with H7N9 avian influenza have not been reported in type B infectious diseases, and deaths have not been reported. The remaining 21 types of type B infectious diseases have reported 288739 cases, 2618 people died. The top five reported cases were viral hepatitis, tuberculosis, syphilis, scarlet fever, and gonorrhea, which accounted for 94% of the total number of reported cases of type B infectious diseases.

During the same period, filariasis was not reported among the C-type infectious diseases and no deaths were reported. The remaining 10 types of C-type infectious diseases reported a total of 1,141,853 cases and 18 deaths. The top 3 reported diseases are influenza, other infectious diarrheal diseases, and hand, foot and mouth disease, which account for 98% of the total number of reported cases of type C infectious diseases. Compared with the past, the number of reported cases of influenza among C-type infectious diseases has increased significantly, mainly due to the high incidence of respiratory infectious diseases such as influenza in winter and spring. As the provinces of the country enter the influenza epidemic season, influenza activity levels have continued to increase. Reached its peak. In addition, in recent years, health and health departments at all levels have continued to increase their efforts to prevent and control influenza, and the public’s awareness of active medical treatment has significantly increased. The medical institutions’ ability to diagnose the etiology of influenza has improved. The Cold Diagnosis and Treatment Program (2019 Edition) “clearly takes the result of rapid diagnosis as one of the diagnostic basis for confirmed cases of influenza, and the number of medical institutions that provide patients with rapid diagnosis of influenza etiology has increased significantly, and even the medical health at all levels in some provinces Institutions have launched rapid influenza etiology diagnostic services, which has led to a significant increase in the number of reported cases of influenza. At present, the level of influenza activity nationwide has begun to fall, and it is expected that the level of influenza activity will continue to fall in the next stage.


Links for National Incidence and Death Statistics Report of National Infectious Disease Reports in December 2019/2018/2017 for comparisons

Dec 2019 report:

http://www.nhc.gov.cn/jkj/s7923/202001/ab5cbab3f8bc46c08cc7b6c4aef85441.shtml

Dec 2018 report:

http://www.nhc.gov.cn/jkj/s3578/201801/178264d9c8ab4d439a34284a4c84fee7.shtml

Dec 2017 report:

http://www.nhc.gov.cn/jkj/s3578/201801/178264d9c8ab4d439a34284a4c84fee7.shtml

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